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Thankfully, this isn’t
about
CitizenRE. Instead, we have the
DBK Corporation, “The Energy Family - Low Cost Electricity”…
Step 1:
Anything ridiculous?
DBK has a goal of
1,000,000 megwatts by the end of 2007 (at least CitizenRE had the sense
to wait until 2025). For reference, there were about
5900 megawatts in the whole world in 2005.
Step 2:
Anything strange?
Their “new” solar panel
has a reported 70% efficiency, a 312% increase over the standard 17%.
Look
here, they can prove it with fancy language (”multi-junction”) and
show you that it puts out 2.8 amps with a fancy meter. For reference,
the theoretical limit for photovoltaic efficiency is around 45%.
Step 3:
Anything impossible?
It only takes one solar
panel to power your whole house. Nothing says powerful like a solar
panel on a gravel roof (picture above). No doubt, that’s powering the
whole building. For reference, it would take 6-8 solar panels to
generate what they are claiming for their single smaller panel, and it
would take 15-20 to offset 50% of the average American home.
Step 4:
Anything fishy?
All of their
break-through technology costs half as much as their “competitors.” For
reference, a 3 kilowatt residential solar system might cost $24,000
before incentives and $14,500 thousand after (really depends on your
location and available incentives).
Step 5:
Review
No basis in reality.
Miraculous technology. Half the cost. It’s gotta be legit! Give them
your credit card!
Solar energy works but is
expensive. So is a hybrid car. So are new windows and a high efficiency
furnace. None are your first choices for reducing energy use and
environmental impact when money matters - do the
simple, low-cost things first. Use your brain in making decisions.
There are reasons it sounds too good to be true…
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5 Responses to “How to
Detect a Solar Scam”
-
Alan
Says:
February 22nd, 2007 at 1:43 pm
[Editor’s Note: I stand corrected on two points. World
wide capacity was around 4300 MW in 2004 and grew 1560 MW in 2005 to a
total of about 5900 MW (this has been corrected above). The current
world record for cell efficiency
was announced last December at 40.6% using a multi-junction
concentrator cell. I’ll be waiting for DBK’s Nobel Prize announcement…]
Certainly DBK has all of the hallmarks of a scam, and
their 1,000,000 MW goal by the end of 2007 is laughable if for no other
reason than that it amounts to 20% of the new capacity the entire world
will need over the next 20 years. Even if they could make that much by
the end of the year, they would sell only a small fraction of it.
So I don’t really disagree with the substance of your
comments. I do, however, have a couple of nitpicks. First, I think you
misread the Solarbuzz article you linked to (that, or I misread what you
wrote about it). It says that the amount of PV installed in the world in
2005 was 1460 MW. That is only the amount that was put into service for
the first time in 2005, it is not the total amount actually operating
worldwide. That total, at the end of 2005, was a bit above 5000 MW.
Still tiny compared to a million, but much larger than 1460 MW.
Second, the theoretical limit for photovoltaic efficiency
really depends on exactly what sort of device you assume. A plain old
silicon solar cell has a theoretical limit of about 29%. A
single-junction solar cell made of an arbitrary, idealized material has
a theoretical limit of about 41%. An ideal two-junction cell has a
theoretical limit of about 56%, three-junction about 64%, four-junction
about 69%, on up to an infinite number of junctions (after all, we’re
talking theory here) with a limit of about 87%. While the five-junction
cell that DBK claims to have would appear not to violate the laws of
thermodynamics on the basis of a 70% efficiency alone, in order to
achieve such an efficiency it would have to be made from five materials
so close to ideal that suitable materials are unlikely to even exist,
let alone be assembled nearly perfectly at half the cost of conventional
PV materials. I can’t see any way that they could possibly even come
close to justifying their claim, and I would be that skeptical even if
they weren’t claiming low cost and had the money-is-no-object budget of
a defense contractor.
It is possible that they’re convinced their product is
genuine because they simply don’t know how to make the electrical
measurements properly or they’ve set up their solar simulator
improperly. That has happened before. However, the photo of the module
on their web site is quite clearly a multicrystalline silicon PV module,
or at least some sort of cast material (though it looks exactly like
cast silicon). A cast material of any sort is far, far, far from the
ideal material I described above — it will be full of impurities, and
the grain boundaries will wreak havoc electronically — so if it’s an
active part of the solar cell the 70% claim is utterly and completely
hosed. I suppose they could claim it’s only a substrate and plays no
role electronically, but if that were the case then the substrate would
not be visible — at 70% efficiency, not enough visible light could
possibly pass through the cell and escape to make the substrate stand
out so clearly.
I’ll tell you one thing: If, by some miracle, they can
back up their claims, the module in the photo is not their actual
product, and folks from the company will win at least one Nobel Prize.
If you can engineer not one, but five, perfect materials, assemble them
in layers without introducing defects into neighboring layers, and make
a working solar panel with 70% efficiency from them at half the cost of
conventional panels, well, it wouldn’t surprise me if you get three
Nobel Prizes.
-
niels
Says:
February 22nd, 2007 at 2:42 pm
Note, that they are selling franchises… that is their
angle. My advise - do not buy one! (please) As solar gets popular we
will be seeing more and more of these scams. The solar industry and
solar advocates must be diligent and get the word out before the public
is sucker into a sour deal, and the image of solar electric systems
drops a notch. My tip for the day is AMAT (they look like the real thing
when it comes to reducing panel cost over the near term). Thanks Sir
Solar Kismet! n
-
don johnson
Says:
May 22nd, 2007 at 6:25 pm
[Editor’s Note: There’s no such thing as a 3000 watt
panel, much less a 1500 watt one…that’s the point. We’ll throw rocks but
they won’t break anything because there’s nothing to break. It’s a scam
(or a severe misunderstanding of physics).]
HAS ANYONE TESTED THE 3000 WATT PANEL?AND IF SO WHAT WAS
THE OUT COME? OR ARE WE JUST GONNA THROW ROCKS ?
-
Rajesh
Says:
June 19th, 2007 at 3:58 am
[Editor’s Note: If the fact that their “solar
division” website doesn’t work is any indication, I’d stop payment.]
Dear Editor,
Dbk corp.is giving us dealership for india,they are asking
200000$deposit for and today i came across your web site and feeling
very scare,please advice me, should we stop all the transactiom.
Thanks
-
Keef
Says:
July 11th, 2007 at 1:30 am
Hi Folks
Here is a solar scammer that just can’t help himself
http://www.mudcat.org/thread.cfm?threadid=102146&messages=54&page=1
What an idiot!
Keef |